Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 214.167832 258.913379 315.487976 394.255876 504.534399 659.303048 9.049851e+02
2025-01-05 152.623568 199.805478 267.359400 377.127821 564.948594 907.609470 1.698654e+03
2025-01-12 126.586800 174.053022 247.628900 380.579367 645.359111 1251.333325 3.339394e+03
2025-01-19 107.850083 153.248054 227.560262 372.555770 697.490398 1603.464250 6.442273e+03
2025-01-26 101.169470 149.258892 233.150063 412.967115 883.702367 2649.352053 2.701671e+04
2025-02-02 98.791239 151.538416 249.993952 484.517535 1228.005096 5578.072478 1.129325e+07
2025-02-09 89.361398 139.619998 236.537901 479.993273 1336.651786 8072.101621 NaN
2025-02-16 82.832294 131.874606 229.690004 489.717425 1519.299715 13620.136573 NaN
2025-02-23 77.235981 124.999756 223.147604 497.869223 1717.422552 25172.327182 NaN
2025-03-02 72.907653 119.929055 219.482537 513.367868 1992.876973 61787.204069 NaN
2025-03-09 68.610526 114.338399 213.521844 519.545915 2241.581798 194350.235687 NaN
2025-03-16 63.512942 106.549862 201.066282 499.533008 2284.994411 484784.611357 NaN
2025-03-23 61.281922 104.906776 204.448329 542.621617 3030.914249 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 56.210440 96.810742 190.531198 516.255713 3085.168545 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 53.034934 92.366777 185.129338 521.653550 3569.145022 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 49.598394 86.970710 176.279973 509.080030 3812.758193 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 48.967313 87.621405 183.732812 572.970811 5880.414909 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 49.395409 90.694927 198.805647 689.442727 12199.354210 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 46.792573 86.438344 191.501067 681.954053 14208.488572 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 44.920284 83.715574 188.389719 698.070083 19106.478334 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.155817 81.071054 185.057804 711.638772 26096.996584 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 41.737538 79.122113 183.596586 737.582733 40676.887595 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.175709 76.672262 180.094509 747.977707 59928.881004 NaN NaN